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FFL: Playoff Week 2 | NFL: Week 16

Raiders QB Geno Smith back as starter vs. Texans

Fri Dec 19 8:03pm ET
Field Level Media

Quarterback Geno Smith will return to the starting lineup for the Las Vegas Raiders after a one-game absence, coach Pete Carroll said Friday.

Smith missed last Sunday's 31-0 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles due to shoulder and back injuries. He returns to face the Houston Texans, who feature the NFL's top defense.

Smith sat out the final quarter of a 24-17 loss to the Denver Broncos on Dec. 7 due to the right shoulder injury and a cut on his throwing hand.

Kenny Pickett replaced Smith in the Denver contest and started against the Eagles. Things didn't go well against Philadelphia as Las Vegas managed just 75 total yards and seven first downs. Pickett was 15-of-25 passing for 64 yards and one interception and he was sacked four times.

Smith has thrown for 2,648 yards, 16 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He also has been sacked 49 times in 13 games.

The Texans feature two of the best pass rushers in the NFL in defensive ends Danielle Hunter (12 sacks) and Will Anderson Jr. (10.5). Houston leads the league in scoring defense (16.3 points per game) and total defense (269.2 yards per game) and also has intercepted 16 passes.

The Raiders (2-12) have lost eight straight games while Houston (9-5) has won six in a row.

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The Paur Report

Starts, Sits, Sleepers: Week 16

Player Notes
Tyjae Spears Dec 19 11:50pm ET
Tyjae Spears

Tennessee Titans running back Tyjae Spears has dealt with a reduced role lately as Tony Pollard earns a heavy dose of touches. Pollard was relatively disappointing from Week 5, when Spears returned from injured reserve, through Week 13. However, in Week 14, he broke out against a relatively strong Browns run defense, and he had another big showing last Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers. Through those two games, Pollard has totaled an absurd 265 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns on 39 carries. As a result of his teammate's sudden breakout, Spears has been left in nothing more than a change-of-pace role. In his last two games, Spears has just 11 carries for 53 yards. He has two catches in each of those contests, setting a new season-low mark. We expect that this backfield will belong to Pollard once again in Week 16 against the Chiefs, leaving Spears off the fantasy radar. He ranks as the overall RB50 in RotoBaller's fantasy rankings for Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Jameson Williams Dec 19 11:50pm ET
Jameson Williams

After a slow start to the 2025 season, Detroit Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams has exploded over the second half of the year. Across his last seven games, the 24-year-old has recorded 647 receiving yards and five touchdown catches. After earning more than seven targets just once over the season's first 12 weeks, he's been targeted by Lions quarterback Jared Goff at least nine times in three straight games. Williams could have a chance to continue his emergence in Week 16 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, who profile as a favorable matchup on paper. Entering the week, Pittsburgh ranks 29th in the NFL in total receiving yards allowed (3,649). With Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (back) on Injured Reserve, Williams has emerged as the team's clear number two option in the passing game alongside wideout Amon-Ra St. Brown. Williams profiles as a low-end fantasy WR1 with high-end upside in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Amon-Ra St. Brown Dec 19 11:40pm ET
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown had a monster game in Week 15, recording 13 receptions for 164 yards and two touchdowns on 18 targets against the Los Angeles Rams. The 26-year-old has earned double-digit targets in seven out of 14 games this season and ranks second in the NFL with 11 touchdown grabs. In Week 16, St. Brown gets a favorable matchup on paper against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Entering the week, Pittsburgh ranks 29th in the NFL in passing yards allowed (3,649). The Lions have also been trending towards a more pass-heavy offense in the second half of the season, as quarterback Jared Goff has attempted at least 33 passes in six out of the team's last seven games. Given the combination of likely target volume and his opponent, St. Brown could be in for another big performance and profiles as a must-start fantasy wide receiver in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Jahmyr Gibbs Dec 19 11:30pm ET
Jahmyr Gibbs

Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs had a disappointing game in Week 15 against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling just 58 scrimmage yards and failing to reach the end zone on 17 touches. On the bright side, the 23-year-old continues to feature heavily in the Detroit passing game. Gibbs earned seven targets in Week 15 and has seen 38 targets across five games since Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (back) was placed on Injured Reserve with a back injury. In Week 16, Gibbs and the Lions will host the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh's defense profiles as a mid-pack unit against the run, ranking 19th in the NFL in total rushing yards allowed (1,692). Gibbs should continue to see a heavy volume of touches as both a rusher and a receiver, and his big-play ability allows for explosive upside. Fantasy managers can view Gibbs as a must-start running back in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Kaleb Johnson Dec 19 11:30pm ET
Kaleb Johnson

Pittsburgh Steelers running back Kaleb Johnson continues to be one of the most disappointing rookies from the 2025 draft class. The 22-year-old Iowa product played a marginal role once again last week, amassing two carries for four rushing yards on a 3% snap share in the Steelers' win over the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. In total this year, he has 28 carries, 69 rushing yards, one catch, and nine receiving yards. He hasn't earned more than six touches in a single game, and he has played more than 12% of the offensive snaps in just two contests. It's not like Johnson has been relegated to special teams, either. He has just 11 special teams snaps this year and hasn't handled a single kick or punt return since a Week 2 blunder in the end zone that directly resulted in an opponent touchdown. Johnson and his fantasy managers are certainly ready to close the book on the 2025 season and turn the page to next year. With Kenneth Gainwell set to hit free agency in March, Johnson could have a chance to carve out a fantasy-relevant role behind Jaylen Warren in 2026.

From RotoBaller

Chuba Hubbard Dec 19 11:30pm ET
Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers running back Chuba Hubbard had just eight carries for 29 rushing yards in last week's loss to the New Orleans Saints. He also caught just one of his two targets for nine receiving yards. Fantasy managers were hoping that Hubbard would replicate his previous performance, in which he had 19 touches, 124 scrimmage yards, and one touchdown, but that wasn't the case. He mustered just 3.6 yards per carry, which was his lowest mark since Week 9, and only played 42% of the offensive snaps. The 26-year-old could be headed for a similar role this week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as Rico Dowdle projects to lead Carolina's backfield once again. The Bucs have allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards to running backs in 2025, and while they've been porous against running backs in the passing game, Hubbard will likely share passing-down work with Dowdle. Hubbard has dropped to the overall RB43 spot in RotoBaller's fantasy rankings for Week 16. He can be benched in most leagues.

From RotoBaller

David Montgomery Dec 19 11:30pm ET
David Montgomery

Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery enters his Week 16 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers on a hot streak, as he's recorded a rushing touchdown in three straight contests. However, Montgomery's recent usage paints a more worrying picture for his production. The 28-year-old has recorded double-digit touches just once in his last five games, and he's played fewer than 40% of the Lions' offensive snaps in six out of the last seven contests. Montgomery's limited workload makes him highly dependent on touchdowns for fantasy production, which may be hard to come by against Pittsburgh. Entering Week 16, the Steelers defense has allowed just 10 rushing touchdowns on the season, which ranks tied for fifth-fewest in the NFL. Montgomery profiles as a low-end flex option for fantasy managers in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Chimere Dike Dec 19 11:20pm ET
Chimere Dike

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Chimere Dike continues to earn snaps and targets deep into his rookie season, but he has posted a stretch of low yardage totals that make it difficult to trust him in fantasy football. Despite garnering 24 targets and 15 catches over his last four games, he has just 93 yards during that span. That comes out to a subpar average of 6.2 yards per catch and 23.3 yards per game. Outside of touchdowns, most of Dike's recent points have come from catches rather than yards, and that only benefits him in half-PPR or full-PPR leagues. Among 119 qualified wide receivers last week, he ranked fifth-lowest in air yards (1 yard) and average depth of target (0.2 yards). We could expect a similar trend this week as Dike faces the Chiefs and continues to handle a heavy dose of routes in the slot. This year, he has 307 slot snaps, which ranks ninth-most among NFL wide receivers. The Chiefs have allowed the 11th-lowest rate of wide receiver fantasy points to slot receivers (32%) in 2025. Dike has dropped all the way down to WR56 in RotoBaller's Week 16 fantasy rankings.

From RotoBaller

Rhamondre Stevenson Dec 19 11:10pm ET
Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson continues to see his ball-carrying role decline with Tre'Veyon Henderson earning more touches. However, Stevenson has consistently led the Patriots in snaps when healthy, and he continues to carve out decent volume on passing downs, which keeps him on the bottom end of the fantasy radar for Week 16 against the Baltimore Ravens. Stevenson has played more than 60% of the offensive snaps between his last two games, and he also has six total catches during that span. He has managed to finish both of those games with double-digit fantasy points in full-PPR leagues thanks to his pass-catching role. The 27-year-old has proven to be a solid pass-blocker and receiver, which will benefit him against the Ravens, who have allowed the third-most catches and fifth-most receiving yards to opposing running backs in 2025. Stevenson ranks as the overall RB41 in RotoBaller's Week 16 fantasy rankings, but managers in half-PPR or full-PPR leagues could justify starting him as a low-end RB3/flex.

From RotoBaller

Jake Elliott Dec 19 11:00pm ET
Jake Elliott

Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott went perfect on the day against the Raiders, making all four of his extra points and hitting his only field goal from 27 yards out. It was a much needed confidence-gainer after he had missed a kick in the previous three games. However, only hitting one field goal-and from short distance-was not a great formula for fantasy points. This week, Elliott will kick against a Commanders defense that allows 26.8 points per game to opposing offenses-seventh-most in the league. However, in fantasy playoffs, there are more secure options with Elliott often missing and lacking opportunities. Look elsewhere before starting him in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Dec 19 11:00pm ET
Drake Maye

New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye has continued to play high-quality football during the back half of the season. He ranks 10th among quarterbacks in fantasy points per game since Week 11, displaying impressive consistency with a moderate ceiling. Managers won't gripe about Maye continuing to rank among the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks, but he could truly make his mark in the fantasy playoffs if he returns to the top-three form that he flashed earlier this season. On Sunday night in Week 16, he'll take on a Baltimore Ravens defense that most recently held Joe Burrow to 225 yards, zero touchdowns, and two interceptions. Maye's rushing ability could set him apart this weekend, as he ran for 43 yards and two touchdowns last weekend against the Bills. Through 14 games this season, he has 362 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. The Ravens have allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards to quarterbacks, but they have also surrendered the 12th-most rushing touchdowns to the position. Baltimore also has just nine interceptions this season, which means we could see another turnover-free game from the former No. 3 selection, who has been picked off just seven times in 2025. All in all, Maye should continue to be a top fantasy quarterback against the Ravens. RotoBaller's latest fantasy rankings have Maye ranked as high as QB3 for Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Darius Cooper Dec 19 10:50pm ET
Darius Cooper

Philadelphia Eagles rookie wide receiver Darius Cooper has now recorded at least one catch in consecutive games for the first time in his career. His two catches for 29 yards came on Philly's last drive of the game, where Cooper got some more time to shine thanks to the starters sitting out. So, he still seems a long ways away from being a viable option in the first team, but the fact that he's getting time on the field and catching all of his targets are definitely positives for the undrafted youngster. While he's trending in the right direction, it's still not enough for him to be in fantasy lineups this week as he faces the Commanders.

From RotoBaller

Dallas Goedert Dec 19 10:30pm ET
Dallas Goedert

Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert has totaled his most receptions in a two-game window this season in the past two weeks, following up an eight-catch game against the Chargers with six more against the Raiders. After a lengthy slump, Goedert has stepped his game back up lately, also breaking his five-game scoring drought versus Las Vegas. On Saturday, he's up against a Commanders defense that allows the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Just last week, the Giants' leading receiver against Washington was TE Theo Johnson who racked up 72 yards. It seems like a perfect storm for Goedert as his involvement has ramped up; he was the only Eagles player to have more than three targets in their most recent contest, finishing with seven. As fantasy playoffs continue, consider him a low-end TE1 in Week 16.

From RotoBaller

Quentin Johnston Dec 19 10:30pm ET
Quentin Johnston

Los Angeles Chargers rookie wide receiver Tre' Harris (hip) is off the injury report and is ready for a Week 16 clash with the Dallas Cowboys. Harris took full advantage of Quentin Johnston's (groin) absence last week, recording a season-high 85% snap share and sparking the offense with a 37-yard reception that led to a Bolts' touchdown. This week, he faces a Dallas Cowboys secondary that ranks last in passing yards and touchdowns allowed. While Harris' volume is tied to Johnston's availability, his big-play ability and high snap share make him an intriguing deep-league flex or DFS punt with upside. RotoBaller ranks him as the WR65, but the matchup offers a higher ceiling than the ranking suggests. He is a low-end WR4/5 with sneaky upside if Johnston is ruled out.

From RotoBaller

Kyle Pitts Dec 19 10:30pm ET
Kyle Pitts

Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts Sr. (knee) is coming off the best game of his career, recording 11 receptions for 166 yards and three touchdowns in the team's 29-28 win over Tampa Bay last week, now sitting with 73 catches and 797 yards for the year. The 25-year-old has had a consistent role in the offense for much of the season, but got a boost as the main beneficiary of Drake London's (knee) absence over the last four weeks. Pitts was a limited participant in practice during the week, and although London did not practice on Friday, both players are expected to suit up for Sunday's road matchup against the Cardinals. It will be the first time Pitts, London, and Kirk Cousins will all be on the field together this season, so it will be interesting to see how the targets get divvied up. Still, the 6-foot-6 tight end looks like a top-five option this week against an Arizona defense that has yielded the seventh-most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season, including an 8-76-1 line for the Texans' Dalton Schultz just last week.

From RotoBaller

Cameron Dicker Dec 19 10:30pm ET
Cameron Dicker

Los Angeles Chargers kicker Cameron Dicker remains one of the most reliable fantasy options after going 3-for-3 on field goals last week against the Kansas City Chiefs. Heading into a Week 16 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium, Dicker is in an ideal environment for scoring. The Cowboys' explosive offense should keep the Chargers aggressive, while the Dallas defense's secondary struggles often lead to drives stalling in field goal range. RotoBaller projects Dicker as K4 for the week, reflecting both his individual accuracy and the high-scoring potential of this game script. With the Chargers' offense getting healthier, Dicker should see multiple scoring opportunities in a controlled dome environment. Start him with complete confidence as a top-tier fantasy kicker this week.

From RotoBaller

Keenan Allen Dec 19 10:20pm ET
Keenan Allen

Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen remains a focal point for Justin Herbert, leading the team with seven targets in his last outing. However, his fantasy floor is fragile, as he posted a season-low 43.1% snap share and has seen only two red-zone targets in his last seven games. The Week 16 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys is favorable, as Dallas ranks 30th in EPA/Pass and fifth in completion percentage allowed. While the porous Cowboys secondary boosts the outlook for all Chargers pass-catchers, Allen's limited route participation makes him a touchdown-dependent option in an offense that has favored the ground game. RotoBaller has Allen ranked as the WR41 this week. He is a viable deep-league streamer or FLEX candidate in PPR formats.

From RotoBaller

Quentin Johnston Dec 19 10:20pm ET
Quentin Johnston

Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston (groin) is officially listed as questionable for Week 16 against the Dallas Cowboys after missing the last game with a groin injury. Before the injury, Johnston's production had slowed, totaling just 14 catches over his last five games. If he suits up, he will face a Dallas Cowboys defense that has allowed more passing yards and touchdowns than any other team in the NFL. The Cowboys' 25th-ranked sack percentage could allow Johnston time to get downfield, but his recent lack of volume and the "re-injury" risk make him a volatile play. RotoBaller has Johnston as the WR57 this week if he plays. He remains a touchdown-reliant, low-end WR4, deep-threat gamble.

From RotoBaller

DeVonta Smith Dec 19 10:10pm ET
DeVonta Smith

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith tied his lowest target count in a game this season against the Raiders, mustering just two looks. He was not alone, however, as only one Philly player (Dallas Goedert) achieved more than three targets in the runaway victory. Plus, Smith was able to make the most of his little involvement, tallying 50 yards on two catches. Coming up, he'll face off against a Commanders defense that has been weak against the pass this season. In fact, Washington has allowed more than 300 passing yards in three of their last six outings. However, Smith has not dazzled recently, having failed to find the end zone since Week 10 and tallying more than four receptions in a game just twice in that same span. In what could be another game where Philly doesn't need to rely on throwing the ball, Smith may be outcasted yet again. The defensive matchup is favorable, but his involvement is no guarantee. Consider him a low-end WR3/FLEX this week.

From RotoBaller

Kyle Monangai Dec 19 10:00pm ET
Kyle Monangai

Chicago Bears rookie running back Kyle Monangai struggled in Week 15, totaling just 33 yards on 11 carries against the Cleveland Browns. The 2025 seventh-round pick has been a pleasant surprise this season, forming an elite committee with D'Andre Swift. Both backs are the only two on a team with over 650 rushing yards, leading Chicago to the NFL's second-best rushing attack behind only the Buffalo Bills. With Swift (groin) listed as questionable for Week 16, Monangai could see a significantly increased workload against the Green Bay Packers. However, the Packers have one of the league's strongest run defenses, ranking sixth against running backs this season. Monangai's fantasy value this week will depend on Swift's status, potentially rising from a risky FLEX option to a low-end RB1 if Swift is inactive.

From RotoBaller