Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert enters Week 16, more than two weeks removed from successful hand surgery, and was a full participant in practice all week. While the Chargers' offense has recently shifted to a low-ADOT, run-heavy approach due to a decimated offensive line that has surrendered 27 sacks in six games, the matchup against the Dallas Cowboys is a significant get-right opportunity. Dallas ranks 30th in EPA/Pass and has allowed the most passing yards and touchdowns in the league this season. With Trey Pipkins (ankle) questionable but potentially returning to stabilize the league's worst PFF-graded unit, Herbert should have more time against a Dallas defense that is just 25th in sack percentage. Despite the team's recent conservative nature, Herbert remains a high-upside play against a defense allowing elite production to opposing signal-callers. He is a low-end QB1 this week.

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Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson has been in an awful slump over the last few weeks. In the previous three games, Jefferson has been held to six receptions for 37 yards and hasn't scored a touchdown during that span. The 26-year-old clearly isn't on the same page as quarterback J.J. McCarthy right now. The upside is too high for fantasy managers to keep Jefferson on the bench this weekend. He has a favorable matchup against the New York Giants in Week 16. A secondary that has allowed the fifth-most yards to wideouts this season. The duds aren't due to a lack of ability, but because of inconsistent quarterback play. Despite the rough stretch, Jefferson comes in as RotoBaller's WR22 in the latest rankings and will try to break out of his slump in a plus matchup vs. the Giants in Week 16.

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Kansas City Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt had his worst game of the season in Week 15, where he totaled 20 yards on seven attempts against the Los Angeles Chargers. Hunt was on a hot streak before last week, where he had a touchdown in five of his previous six games. The veteran running back played 49% of the snaps in Week 15, while Isiah Pacheco played 46%, which is his highest mark since injuring his knee in Week 8. While Hunt remains the lead back heading into Week 16, the injury to quarterback Patrick Mahomes may deteriorate his fantasy value moving forward. With Mahomes out, the Chiefs will likely struggle to move the ball, which will limit Hunt's goal-line attempts that have propelled his fantasy stock this season. Despite the easy matchup against the Tennessee Titans, Hunt is a risky FLEX at best in Week 16.

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Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Andrei Iosivas has been a non-factor on offense over the last three games. The 26-year-old gave fantasy managers a goose egg last week with zero receptions in the loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Iosivas hasn't finished with more than 30 receiving yards in a single game since Week 12. The Bengals were without Tee Higgins (concussion) last week, and Iosivas still only saw one target. It doesn't look like the Bengals view Iosivas as an essential piece of the offensive gameplan right now. Even if Higgins sits in Week 16, Iosivas is avoidable in most formats for the Week 16 matchup against the Miami Dolphins.

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Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington has seen his role in the Jaguars' offense reduced recently. Washington was playing a bigger part while Brian Thomas Jr. was injured. Now with Thomas back in the picture, Washington has fallen to the third option in this passing attack behind Thomas and Jakobi Meyers. Last week, Washington hauled in all three of his targets for 53 yards during the win over the New York Jets. His snap count has taken a hit over the last two weeks, and he has been playing less than 50 percent of the offensive snaps. Washington shouldn't be counted on as anything more than a deep league option for the Week 16 matchup against the Denver Broncos.

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Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Tre Tucker gave fantasy managers a goose egg as he failed to haul in any of his three targets during last week's loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Tucker wasn't offering much fantasy value before Week 15. Over his last four games, Tucker has been held to under 30 receiving yards in all of those contests. The Raiders' offense has been unwatchable throughout most of the season, so it's not all Tucker's fault. At the moment, Brock Bowers seems to be the only playable pass-catcher on this offense. It's unlikely Tucker will get things going against the Houston Texans' elite secondary. A unit that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to wideouts this season. Tucker hasn't given fantasy managers any reason to trust him at the moment and is an option in deep leagues at best.

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Across 14 games this season, Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff has completed 69.3% of his passes for 3,672 yards, 29 touchdowns, and five interceptions. The 31-year-old has thrown for at least 255 yards in seven straight games and has topped 300 passing yards in each of his last two contests. With the Lions' defense struggling, Goff has been forced into more pass-heavy game scripts in the second half of the season. After attempting more than 29 passes in just one of Detroit's first seven games, he's thrown fewer than 33 passes in the team's last seven games. Goff and the Lions have a favorable matchup on paper in Week 16 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Entering Sunday, Pittsburgh ranks 29th in the NFL in passing yards allowed (3,649). The Steelers' pass rush also looks a little less fearsome this week, as star edge rusher T.J. Watt (lung) will miss a second straight game while recovering from surgery to repair a collapsed lung. Given his recent pass volume trends and the opponent, Goff profiles as a low-end fantasy QB1 in Week 16.

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Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce caught his only target for 16 yards in the 18-16 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Last week marked the first game Pierce has played without Daniel Jones, who tore his Achilles in Week 14. His connection with Jones was exceptional, as Pierce was having the best season of his career before the injury. Now, 44-year-old Philip Rivers is the starting quarterback for the Colts, and his showing against the Seahawks didn't offer any relief for Pierce and his fantasy outlook. Rivers averaged 4.4 yards per attempt and only had two completions over 10 yards last week. Not ideal for Pierce, who currently leads the NFL in yards per completion this season. The fourth-year receiver is better left on the bench than in starting lineups this week, as he looks to overcome the lack of deep-passing ability that Rivers has.

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Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs has been an inconsistent fantasy option for over a month now. Doubs was offering decent fantasy value mid-season, but is becoming unusable in fantasy formats late in the season. The return of Jayden Reed has undoubtedly contributed to Doubs' downfall. The Packers also have a ton of mouths to feed with Reed, Christian Watson (chest), Dontayvion Wicks (ankle), and Matthew Golden all fighting for targets with Doubs. The 25-year-old has seen four or fewer targets in four straight games. It's unlikely that Doubs gets more involved unless Watson or Wicks sit out. At the moment, both players are questionable for the Week 16 matchup versus the Chicago Bears. If they play, Doubs will remain a low-floor option for Week 16.

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Miami Dolphins running back Jaylen Wright followed up his explosive campaign with a dud in Week 15, totaling only two rushing yards on one carry against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Wright totaled 107 yards on 24 carries against the New York Jets in Week 14, but was phased back to his reserve role with De'Von Achane playing through his rib injury. Wright dropped from a 52% snap share to an 8% snap share last week. Wright appears to be the direct handcuff to Achane, and with two weeks left in the fantasy season, it's hard to fathom that Wright will be fantasy relevant for the remainder of the 2025 season. While he faces the worst run defense in the NFL in the Cincinnati Bengals, he doesn't carry enough volume to be worth rostering.

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Despite a strong showing in Week 15, Washington Commanders rookie running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt appears to be heading back to his reserve role in Week 16. Chris Rodirguez Jr. was sidelined last week against the New York Giants, and Croskey-Merritt took advantage, totaling 96 yards on 18 carries. Unfortunately for the 2025 seven-round pick, Rodriguez is off the injury report and good to go for Week 16 against the Philadelphia Eagles. Since Week 11, Rodriguez has played 44% of the snaps, while Croskey-Merritt has played 20%. While a strong showing in Week 15 could close the gap between the two, both backs are extremely risky against the Eagles.

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Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers has an opportunity to bounce back in Week 16 against the Houston Texans. The second-year tight end is coming off a disappointing Week 15 showing without quarterback Geno Smith (back, shoulder), hauling in six of his eight targets for just 28 yards, scoring single-digit fantasy points for the first time since Week 10. Despite this poor result, Bowers played 90% of the team's snaps, ran a route on every drop-back, and had a target share of 32%, signifying his importance in Las Vegas' overall passing scheme. Smith will start in Week 16, and Bowers is his preferred target against a Texans defense that just gave up 12 receptions, 134 yards, and two touchdowns to Arizona Cardinals tight end Trey McBride, a career day for him, in Week 15. Since returning from injury in Week 9, Bowers has been a steady TE1 option for fantasy managers, averaging 16.9 PPR points per game. Bowers has a safe floor and should be started in all league formats in Week 16, but a sputtering Raiders' offense against a dominant Texans defense will probably limit his upside.

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Buccaneers running back Sean Tucker has logged single-digit touches in three straight games, but he's at least found the end zone in back-to-back weeks. His role has shrunk since Bucky Irving returned in Week 13. Tucker's 13 touches over the past three games rank firmly behind Rachaad White (19) and Irving (53). It's disappointing usage for the third-year back after breaking out for 140 total yards and three touchdowns in Week 11 against the Buffalo Bills. However, he is seemingly the preferred back near the goal line, handling four of the six running back carries in the last three weeks. That still doesn't present much upside for the 24-year-old back, making him tough to trust heading into Week 16's divisional matchup against the Carolina Panthers.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cade Otton was inactive last week, but has been a full participant this week in practice and is ready to go in Week 16. Otton has yet to find the endzone this season despite being 14th among tight ends in targets, but now, targets will be hard to come by. For the first time in the 2025 season, both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin were active, and that makes it nearly impossible for Otton to be a consistent piece moving forward. Evans, Godwin, rookie receiver Emeka Egbuka, and Jalen McMillan handled 93% of the passing production in Week 15, and with one of the best receiving rooms in the NFL getting healthier, Otton will be a low-end option moving forward.

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Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney had a golden opportunity to produce as the team's WR1 with Drake London (knee) missing the past four games due to a PCL sprain in his left knee. The 28-year-old failed to deliver, recording nine catches for 140 yards and a touchdown on 18 targets, ranking as the WR45 in PPR points in that time. The former Chicago Bears receiver has taken a backseat to tight end Kyle Pitts Sr., who is coming off one of the best games by a tight end in NFL history in Week 15 versus Tampa Bay, catching 11 of 12 targets for 166 yards and three touchdowns. Pitts has out-targeted Mooney 35 to 18 in the past four games, and now, with London cleared to return on Sunday against the Arizona Cardinals, the 28-year-old falls into WR4 territory for Week 16.

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New York Jets wide receiver John Metchie III has played a full-time role since being acquired from the Philadelphia Eagles at the trade deadline. Excluding the first game with the team, where he played only eight offensive snaps, Metchie has compiled 21 catches for 188 yards and two touchdowns on 31 targets while playing 87% of the snaps. The 25-year-old scored in back-to-back games in Weeks 11 and 12, but his production has cooled off since, totalling 78 yards on exactly four catches in each of the past three games. With undrafted rookie QB Brady Cook set to make his second consecutive start in Week 16 versus the New Orleans Saints, who have allowed under 200 yards passing in five straight games, Metchie doesn't offer much upside for the second round of the fantasy playoffs.

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Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews has regressed heavily in the 2025 season and has completely fallen apart in recent weeks. Since Week 12, Andrews has caught eight of 17 targets for 83 yards and no touchdowns, which ranks 41st among tight ends during that span. Andrews signed a three-year $39.3 million contract extension on December 3rd, but only played 43% of the snaps in Week 15, behind both Isaiah Likely (54%) and Charlie Kolar (57%). A limited snap share is not the only reason why the veteran has struggled, but also due to the struggling Ravens' passing attack. The Ravens rank 27th in the NFL in passing this season, a significant drop from their 2024 ranking, where they finished seventh in passing. With his limited snap share and the Ravens' struggles on offense, Andrews is a risky TE2 in Week 16.

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Indianapolis Colts tight end Tyler Warren has struggled mightily in recent weeks and may not be trustworthy moving forward. In the last two weeks, Warren has caught only five passes for 34 yards, and this is likely due to the unfortunate injury to quarterback Daniel Jones. With Jones in the lineup, Warren averaged 13.1 fantasy points per game, which ranks as the TE4 during that span. While Warren has been a monster at the tight end position this season, fantasy managers need to pivot with fantasy championships on the line. 44-year-old quarterback Philip Rivers is now the starting quarterback, and running backs were heavily utilized in the passing game, with Jonathan Taylor and Ameer Abdullah taking eight of the 18 total completions last week against the Seahawks. With a run-heavy system and a crowded receiving corps in Indianapolis, Warren is a risky TE2 in Week 16 against the San Francisco 49ers.

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Miami Dolphins running back Jaylen Wright had a monster game against the Jets in Week 14, running for 107 rushing yards and a touchdown on 24 carries. In Week 15, though, he only had one carry for two yards and one reception for nine yards. Wright didn't get more work, even with Ollie Gordon II (ankle) out of the game, so it's hard to see him getting much work in Week 16 with Gordon healthy. Gordon and Wright will back up De'Von Achane, and Achane will be in a smash spot against the Bengals as an elite start. Even after his big game, it looks like Wright is back to his part-time backup role, and even in this good matchup against the Bengals, he's only the RB No. 66 in RotoBaller's rankings, making him best left on the waiver wire in all but the deepest leagues

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Houston Texans rookie wide receiver Jayden Higgins ended his streak of solid production in Week 15, hauling in his only target for four yards. Last week marked the first time since Week 9 that Higgins had less than five targets, but he played his highest snap count of the season, playing 72% of the snaps. The 2025 second-round pick has supplanted Xavier Hutchinson as the WR2 in this Texans offense, but that may not be enough for Higgins to be a fantasy-relevant piece moving forward. Star receiver Nico Collins will continue to dominate the targets in Houston, which minimizes the upside and consistency that Higgins will have in fantasy moving forward. In Week 16, Higgins is a desperate start against the struggling Las Vegas Raiders secondary.

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